Environmental and Energy Conditions in Sustainable Regional Development

Climate change is taking place on a global scale and it substantially affected by human activity, including increasing greenhouse gas emissions. One of the thematic objectives EU’s new financial objective more environmentally friendly low-emission Europe that promotes clean fair energy transformation, green investments, circular economy, among others. The Polish economy mainly based production from conventional sources (fossil fuels). Considering demand for electricity in Poland predicted to increase as much 50% until 2040, necessary take action aimed at share renewable sources. subject analysis Opolskie Voivodeship (a NUTS 2 type region), capital which features biggest coal power plant. In 2014–2019, was expanded two units with 1800 MW total capacity, thereby indicating investments obtained are still implemented large extent (the expansion has been infrastructural investment since 1989). region characterised substantial excess acceptable environmental burden (dust pollution, others). aim paper evaluate key conditions region’s development terms assumptions domestic EU policies. developmental challenges area were determined basis selected indicator estimations up 2030. research hypothesis assumes unfavourable. methodological part an cause effect dependencies “environment” area, enabled assessment Voivodeship’s current situation well relevant development. This followed estimation indicators 2030, allowed their probable levels specification conditions. conducted using data available public statistics, i.e., Statistics Poland’s data. estimated 2030 presented three forecasting methods: (a) monotonic trend, (b) yearly average rate, (c) logarithmic trend.